Hernán Cortés vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MIA
1 - 0
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
VIL
45%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JER
1 - 0
DPC
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
JER
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JER
3 - 0
CPL
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 3
JER
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JER
0 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |