Hernán Cortés vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
SAM
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
HER
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 3
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 2
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 1
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
GIM
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
CAB
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |