Hernán Cortés vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 2
HER
10%
18%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAL
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 4
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 4
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
ZAL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 6
GIM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 2
GIM
42%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 1
MON
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |