Hernán Cortés vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 1
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
HER
2 - 3
ZUR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
5 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 2
COR
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
GIM
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAG
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 1
GIM
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 2
GIM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |