Hernán Cortés vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAB
2 - 2
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HER
3 - 0
ADV
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDZ
1 - 2
HER
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
RMC
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 2
HER
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDD
5 - 1
CDZ
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
RMC
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 5
CDD
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
QUI
39%
22%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
CDD
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |