Hermes A vs UE Vic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
FPH
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 1
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FPH
5 - 1
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LLO
3 - 3
FPH
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FPH
3 - 1
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UE Vic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 1
VIC
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 0
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UEL
2 - 0
VIC
43%
26%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
UAH
45%
27%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 3
VIC
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |