Hermes A vs Avià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
FPH
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FPH
2 - 1
CFR
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
FPH
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FPH
3 - 4
UAH
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CFM
2 - 1
FPH
59%
22%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Avià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UEA
1 - 2
CEF
19%
24%
57%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 0
UEA
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UEA
0 - 3
TON
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 2
UEA
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UEA
2 - 3
SAN
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |