Hermes A vs At. Sant Pol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FPH
2 - 1
LLA
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
FPH
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FPH
2 - 0
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CET
0 - 4
FPH
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FPH
0 - 1
BBV
59%
19%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Sant Pol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
SPA
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
LLO
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 4
SPA
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |