Hermes A vs Sant Cugat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FPH
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 1
CDM
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CFL
4 - 0
FPH
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FPH
0 - 0
GIR
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UEA
1 - 3
FPH
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Cugat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CEF
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 3
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
TON
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |