Hermes A vs San Juan At. M. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 0
FPH
76%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FPH
1 - 1
CFL
22%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
FPH
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FPH
0 - 3
UEA
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
FPH
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Juan At. M.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEF
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
4 - 1
SAN
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
TON
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |