Hermes A vs San Juan At. M. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 4
FPH
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FPH
2 - 0
PRE
37%
23%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
FPH
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FPH
5 - 1
GUI
29%
22%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
FPH
49%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan At. M.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
LLA
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 3
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CET
2 - 2
SAN
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
BBV
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |