Hermes A vs Lloret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
FPH
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FPH
0 - 3
UEA
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
FPH
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FPH
2 - 1
CFR
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
FPH
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lloret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CFL
0 - 0
CEF
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 0
CFL
38%
26%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CFL
5 - 4
TON
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
CFL
35%
25%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CFL
0 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |