Hermes A vs Farners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 2
FPH
55%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TON
1 - 0
FPH
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FPH
0 - 2
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FPH
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FPH
1 - 1
CDM
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 4
CEF
40%
27%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 0
TON
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CEF
34%
26%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
5 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |