Hermann Aichinger vs Joacaba AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Joacaba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
JAC
3 - 1
TUB
15%
20%
66%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +8 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
JAC
82%
13%
5%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
JAC
0 - 1
JUV
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
JAC
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |