Herlev vs Vordingborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
TAA
0 - 4
HER
27%
23%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
ALL
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
OTB
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SKJ
0 - 0
HER
20%
21%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
GRE
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Vordingborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
VIF
3 - 3
SKJ
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VIF
0 - 2
GVI
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VIF
4 - 4
ALL
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
3 - 0
VIF
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VIF
0 - 1
HER
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |