Herlev vs Kalundborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STE
0 - 3
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
VIR
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KFU
2 - 4
HER
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
KAS
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
TAA
69%
16%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kalundborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 3
VAN
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
4 - 2
KAL
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 2
HIL
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TAA
4 - 0
KAL
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STE
4 - 1
KAL
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |