Herlev vs Fredensborg BI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
3 - 1
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
FA2
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
NBB
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BGA
3 - 4
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
JAG
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
FRE
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
B19
1 - 0
FRE
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 1
AVE
30%
22%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FA2
0 - 1
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |