Herlev vs Elite 3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SCE
2 - 1
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
RIS
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 2
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
BFR
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
ACH
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Elite 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ELI
0 - 0
SOL
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HIK
1 - 0
ELI
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ELI
1 - 0
AVA
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BGA
2 - 4
ELI
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ELI
1 - 2
B93
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |