Herlev vs Avarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
8º
40
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KFU
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ALL
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
HER
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
1 - 1
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 5
VB1
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
5 - 0
VB1
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SKJ
0 - 0
AVA
19%
23%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 4
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 1
AVA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 1
SBO
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |