Herlev vs Allerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
8º
24
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
HER
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
1 - 1
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
3 - 5
VB1
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
SKJ
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
3 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
VB1
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SKJ
2 - 1
ALL
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
4 - 0
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 3
NAS
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 1
ALL
58%
22%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |