Herk vs Apollo Gellik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
HUV
66%
18%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HEL
2 - 3
HER
26%
22%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HIH
0 - 3
HER
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
WEK
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Apollo Gellik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
APO
1 - 0
MOE
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
APO
6 - 0
LIN
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
APO
2 - 2
ZEP
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
APO
2 - 0
LUT
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
VLI
1 - 0
APO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |