Herisau vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
HER
6 - 1
KUS
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
STG
2 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
WIN
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TUG
3 - 1
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 0
TUG
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -3 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCB
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
TUG
1 - 2
MEY
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
TUG
4 - 1
SOL
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |