Heriot-Watt vs Vale of Leithen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 3
LOT
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
PRE
2 - 1
HER
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
TYN
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WHI
4 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
EDI
1 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |