Heriot-Watt vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
KHE
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 3
LEI
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -5 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ORM
1 - 3
HER
11%
14%
75%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TWR
0 - 6
HER
4%
9%
87%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 1
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TYN
0 - 2
KHE
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
STI
2 - 4
TYN
19%
18%
63%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TYN
6 - 1
TWR
95%
4%
1%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
KHE
5 - 0
TYN
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COL
1 - 8
TYN
20%
19%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |