Heriot-Watt vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
LOT
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ORM
1 - 2
HER
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
5 - 1
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 2
HER
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HER
4 - 2
STI
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
5 - 1
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
5 - 0
TYN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
0 - 2
LOT
30%
22%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TYN
6 - 3
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TWR
0 - 1
TYN
4%
9%
87%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |