Heriot-Watt vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EYE
1 - 7
HER
6%
12%
82%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEE
2 - 2
HER
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
CRA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
HAW
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 4
ORM
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
TYN
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 3
TYN
19%
18%
63%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
TYN
43%
21%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEE
1 - 0
TYN
34%
21%
45%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |