Heriot-Watt vs Stirling University II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
CIV
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ORM
1 - 1
HER
30%
21%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
COL
5 - 3
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
STI
4 - 1
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
STI
2 - 3
CIV
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STI
2 - 4
TYN
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
5 - 3
STI
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
STI
8%
13%
79%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |