Heriot-Watt vs Stirling University II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 4
TYN
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
CIV
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HER
3 - 2
LOT
28%
23%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
6 - 2
STI
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
STI
17%
20%
62%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
6 - 1
STI
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STI
2 - 3
COL
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TYN
2 - 3
STI
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |