Heriot-Watt vs Spartans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
LOT
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
HER
6 - 0
EYE
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STI
3 - 3
HER
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CIV
3 - 1
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
COL
57%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spartans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
TYN
0 - 2
SPA
45%
22%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
DUN
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
CIV
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 3
EAS
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
TYN
2 - 1
SPA
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |