Heriot-Watt vs Ormiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TYN
1 - 3
HER
56%
20%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
COL
2 - 2
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EYE
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
LOT
3 - 2
HER
69%
17%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
LEI
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ormiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ORM
1 - 3
PEE
40%
21%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TWR
3 - 4
ORM
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
ORM
62%
18%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TYN
3 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STI
3 - 0
ORM
86%
9%
6%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |