Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ORM
1 - 2
HER
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
5 - 1
HER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 2
HER
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HER
4 - 2
STI
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
EYE
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LOT
7 - 0
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STI
3 - 3
LOT
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LOT
8 - 0
ORM
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
0 - 3
LOT
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
0 - 2
LOT
30%
22%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |