Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
HER
6 - 0
EYE
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STI
3 - 3
HER
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CIV
3 - 1
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
COL
57%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
LEI
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
7 - 0
CRA
86%
10%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOT
6 - 0
TYN
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 4
LOT
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STI
2 - 4
LOT
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOT
1 - 0
CIV
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |