Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
PRE
2 - 1
HER
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
TYN
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 2
HER
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 3
STI
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LOT
1 - 1
EDI
56%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
LOT
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
LOT
3 - 2
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
TYN
0 - 2
LOT
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |