Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 2
HER
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
6 - 3
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
CIV
80%
13%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SEL
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
2 - 2
LOT
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LOT
2 - 3
AFC
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 4
LOT
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LOT
0 - 2
SPA
31%
24%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LOT
3 - 0
SEL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +2 |