Heriot-Watt vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DAL
4 - 0
HER
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SEL
2 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WHI
3 - 1
HER
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HER
5 - 0
PEE
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LOT
0 - 0
EDI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LOT
2 - 1
EAS
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
LOT
3 - 1
AFC
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
WHI
3 - 0
LOT
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPA
3 - 2
LOT
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |