Heriot-Watt vs AFC Edinburgh University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEI
1 - 0
HER
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
LOT
3 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
5 - 1
HER
62%
19%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
STI
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
TYN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 1
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 6
AFC
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |