Heriot-Watt vs AFC Edinburgh University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 3
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
WHI
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
LOT
3 - 2
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TYN
2 - 1
HER
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
SEL
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 3
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AFC
3 - 2
SEL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
WHI
2 - 1
AFC
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 3
SPA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 1
AFC
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |