Heriot-Watt vs Easthouses Lily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LOT
5 - 2
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CIV
2 - 3
HER
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
5 - 1
HER
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
HER
4 - 1
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AFC
3 - 1
HER
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Easthouses Lily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
EAS
2 - 1
SEL
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EAS
1 - 2
WHI
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
EAS
1 - 6
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
EAS
5 - 0
CIV
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
EDI
1 - 2
EAS
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |