Heriot-Watt vs Craigroyston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BRX
3 - 1
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
EDU
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
STI
0 - 1
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
6 - 1
ORM
94%
5%
2%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
IHS
94%
5%
2%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
8 - 0
CRA
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
JSW
9 - 0
CRA
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
0 - 3
EDU
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAU
3 - 0
CRA
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BLU
0 - 2
CRA
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |