Heriot-Watt vs Craigroyston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AFC
3 - 1
HER
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
CIV
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HER
1 - 4
SPA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
EDI
1 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
BLA
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SEL
0 - 3
CRA
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CRA
2 - 2
LOT
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CRA
2 - 2
WHI
15%
22%
64%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 2
PRE
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
AFC
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |