Heriot-Watt vs Coldstream analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
LEI
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
AFC
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEI
1 - 0
HER
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
LOT
3 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coldstream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
CRA
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
HER
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COL
0 - 4
LOT
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |