Heriot-Watt vs Coldstream analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EDI
2 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 5
SPA
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
WHI
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
EDI
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
LOT
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Coldstream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
COL
0 - 2
PRE
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
DAL
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
COL
5 - 0
SEL
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +4 |