Heriot-Watt vs Civil Service Strollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ORM
1 - 1
HER
30%
21%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
COL
5 - 3
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
DUN
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 1
HER
24%
21%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
STI
2 - 3
CIV
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
5 - 3
STI
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
0 - 1
CRA
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEE
0 - 1
CIV
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 2
CIV
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |