Heriot-Watt vs Civil Service Strollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SEL
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EDI
2 - 5
HER
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
AFC
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 3
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 2
BER
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
CIV
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
CIV
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
34%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CIV
0 - 3
COL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |