Hergiswil vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
HER
21%
18%
61%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TAV
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
IBA
2 - 1
TAV
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 0
NOV
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PER
4 - 4
TAV
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |