Hergiswil vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
SAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
TUG
13%
18%
69%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
YOU
1 - 0
SCH
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 0
SCH
36%
23%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
6 - 0
CON
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
6 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STA
1 - 4
SCH
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |