Hergiswil vs SC Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
14º
40
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
HER
56%
20%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 0
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCE
0 - 1
FCC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 3
SCE
49%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SCE
3 - 1
BRU
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZUG
4 - 1
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCE
1 - 1
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |