Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
HER
5 - 2
HOC
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
HER
15%
16%
68%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
TAV
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 5
ESC
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
HOC
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAR
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |