Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
HER
6 - 3
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TEA
5 - 3
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 1
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
HOC
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 1
SAR
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KUS
2 - 1
SAR
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 4
GOL
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |