Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 2
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
GUN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 1
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GOL
2 - 2
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCS
4 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 3
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
25%
22%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |